I want to buy things I know I can at least double my money on within 3 years and not because "well everyone is doing it". I also want investments that are easy to spot and will allow me to do the least work. Can apple double its market cap in that same time period and become a $4 trillion company ? Seems lofty , I think it's possible I could get 20-30% but what's another way I could get Apple at a better price ? In my view I'm thinking by buying Berkshire Hathaway because for a far lower price/valuation I can also get Heinz, insurance, BNSF, Lubrizol, a chunk of Coca-Cola, American Express, energy and a lot more. As well as excellent management of Ted and Todd (no disrespect to Buffett).
I avoid investments where I dont have a clear margin of safety and have to rely on how others "feel" about them in order for them to rise. Without question Apple is a great company but at this valuation I think I'll wait for the next downturn however long that might be.