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The Official 2024 Presidential Election Thread

Added to Calendar: 11-05-24

KINGEC said:
Selzer the most accurate poll in the nation. If true...

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Why? Are you saying that what is happening in Iowa is a sign of what's gonna happen elsewhere? I don't know about that.

I hope you're not thinking of the electoral college because Iowa only has 6 electoral votes.

Things are real close in PA, and so she could lose there. In which case Iowa wouldn't help her. Even Iowa + NV wouldn't secure her the win. If she loses PA, she'll need NC or GA, and I'm not confident that she'll win either.
 
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Gray Matter said:
Why? Are you saying that what is happening in Iowa is a sign of what's gonna happen elsewhere? I don't know about that.

I hope you're not thinking of the electoral college because Iowa only has 6 electoral votes.

Things are real close in PA, and so she could lose there. In which case Iowa wouldn't help her. Even Iowa + NV wouldn't secure her the win. If she loses PA, she'll need NC or GA, and I'm not confident that she's win either.
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I saw earlier the comparison was made between Iowa and Wisconsin because they trend closely together on how they vote.
 
TheNightKing said:
I saw earlier the comparison was made between Iowa and Wisconsin because they trend closely together on how they vote.
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Oh, I think she'll probably win W.I. What I just said assumed that she wins WI and Michigan. If she doesn't win WI and PA then she'd be in an even worse position. If she doesn't win PA, she'll need one of NC or GA and one of IA and NV. If she loses WI as well, she'll need one of NC or GA and BOTH IA and NV (or both NC and GA).
 
Gray Matter said:
Why? Are you saying that what is happening in Iowa is a sign of what's gonna happen elsewhere? I don't know about that.

I hope you're not thinking of the electoral college because Iowa only has 6 electoral votes.

Things are real close in PA, and so she could lose there. In which case Iowa wouldn't help her. Even Iowa + NV wouldn't secure her the win. If she loses PA, she'll need NC or GA, and I'm not confident that she'll win either.
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It could be. Even if IA doesn't go blue, it still shows that it's that close when it's not even a battleground state.

But I'm really looking at MI, WI and PA. They usually vote the same in these elections and I'm pretty sure she'll get PA which will give her the win. along with NV which I believe she'll get too, IA would just be icing on the cake.
 
Gray Matter said:
Oh, I think she'll probably win W.I. What I just said assumed that she wins WI and Michigan. If she doesn't win WI and PA then she'd be in an even worse position. If she doesn't win PA, she'll need one of NC or GA and one of IA and NV. If she loses WI as well, she'll need one of NC or GA and BOTH IA and NV (or both NC and GA).
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I think they were saying IA might be representative of some of the rural or suburban PA counties too.
 
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