COMMUNITY The Official 2024 Presidential Election Thread
- Thread starter Mister B. M. Ed.
- Start date
Added to Calendar: 11-05-24
Los216
The Game Is The Game
Listen.....................
There's a very good chance that next Tuesday will be an early night. I don't think people understand this.
I know niggas are nervous and don't wanna believe polls and trends and I agree with that.
But, there is more than enough data to suggest that some states will be called early enough to put this thing to bed.
At this point. It's more likely that the early states that get called will seal it and we'll spend the rest of the night waiting for California to be called to make it the big moment which will be close to 8 PM west coast time so around 11 Pm at night, this muthafucka might be over.
There's a very good chance that next Tuesday will be an early night. I don't think people understand this.
I know niggas are nervous and don't wanna believe polls and trends and I agree with that.
But, there is more than enough data to suggest that some states will be called early enough to put this thing to bed.
At this point. It's more likely that the early states that get called will seal it and we'll spend the rest of the night waiting for California to be called to make it the big moment which will be close to 8 PM west coast time so around 11 Pm at night, this muthafucka might be over.
TheNightKing
J.A.P.A.N.
JD been talking to everybody and nobody cares, lol.
Even the Trump interview didn’t get much burn in the media. A lot of people listened, myself included, but there was nothing of consequence said. Most quotes were from Rogan.
I see why Kamala isn’t in a rush to sit down with Rogan. The strategy now is do no harm and there’s more downside than upside with that interview.
Marc123
You got it dude!
This is a pretty wild take. Trump is the first Republican since Bush in 04 to have a shot at actually winning the popular vote and is leading in the betting markets. Betting markets have been wrong too, but the bigger sign is the popular vote. Everything out there says it is a dead heat and Trump has historically performed better than the polls indicate.
I don't think I would bet on either of them winning "easy" but everything seems to point toward that being Trump if it happens for either of them.
TheNightKing
J.A.P.A.N.
I was washing the car and doing yard work, lol.
I’ve listened to every podcast with Kamala and Trump that I’m subscribed to. I like to keep a pulse on what’s happening.
Los216
The Game Is The Game
Respectfully,
You don't know what you're talking about. Your characterization of Trump having a chance at the popular vote is way off to say the least. Trump will lose the popular vote by a larger margin than he lost in in both 2020 and 2016.
Secondly, you fucked up by equating this to betting markets. Polling and bettering are not the same. The betting markets have the Celtics as the favorites to win the NBA Championship this season. If you polled the NBA fans across the country, the answer would be different. Polls are done using real people and real data that is measured and traced. Betting markets are set using smaller samples and less human interaction.
Also, nothing out there says that this is a dead heat. I literally posted a poll from Kansas that Trump won by 14 points in 2020. He's winning by 5 points this year. That means he is not polling well. It also means that this isn't a dead heat and the person in the lead is NOT the one that lost 9 POINTS in a RED state.
That last part about everything pointing to Trump being the one to win easy, also shows that you ain't really out here. Trump is UNDERPERFORMING in every single swing state since 2020. Trump is also not gaining ground in RED states. HE'S LOSING GROUND!!!!!!
Don't use data or talking points from somebody else. Take the time and go look for yourself.
She's whopping his ass right now.
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